Operational Adaptation Conference
The University of Edinburgh
22-24 June 2010

Background Reading

Blumstein, DT (2008) Fourteen security lessons from anti-predator behavior. In: Natural Security: A Darwinian Approach to a Dangerous World, RD Sagarin and T Taylor (eds), Berkeley and Los Angeles, CA: University of California Press.

Bohorquez, J, Gourley, S, Dixon, A, Spagat, M & Johnson, N (2009) Common ecology quantifies human insurgency. Nature 462, 911-914.

Dall SRX (2010). Managing risk: the perils of uncertainty. In: Evolutionary Behavioral Ecology (Westneat D.F. & Fox C.W. Eds): Ch 12, p194-206. Oxford University Press.

Grisogono, A-M (2010) Conceptual Framework for Adaptation. JSA Action Group 14 Complex Adaptive Systems for Defence: Synthesis Report

Grisogono, A-M (2010) Complex Adaptive Systems Concepts for Complex Operations. JSA Action Group 14 Complex Adaptive Systems for Defence: Synthesis Report.

Grisogono, A-M (2010) Complex Adaptive Systems Concepts for Complex Engineering. JSA Action Group 14 Complex Adaptive Systems for Defence: Synthesis Report.

Grisogono, A-M (2010) Causal & Influence Networks in Complex Systems. JSA Action Group 14 Complex Adaptive Systems for Defence: Synthesis Report.

Grist, M (2009) How new ways of thinking about human behaviour might change politics, policy and practice. RSA Project Report.

Grist, M (2010) Steer: Mastering our behaviour through instinct, environment and reason. RSA Project Report.

Hoffman, FG (2009) Hybrid threats: Reconceptualizing the evolving character of modern conflict. Strategic Forum 240: 1-8.

Hoffman, FG (2010) 'Hybrid threats': Neither omnipotent nor unbeatable. Orbis 588 (in press).

Hudson, VM & Den Boer, A (2002) A surplus of men, a deficit of peace: security and sex ratios in Asia’s largest states. International Security 26 (4): 5-38.

Farrell, T (Forthcoming July 2010) Improving in war: Military adaptation and the British in Helmand, 2006-2009. Strategic Studies 33 (4).

Jobbágy, Z (2007) Developing Strategy: On Effects-Based Operations, Complex Adaptive Systems, and the Importance of Biological Connotations. Militaire Spectator 176: 251-259.

Jobbágy, Z (2009) From effects-based operations to effects-based Force: on causality, complex adaptive system, and The biology of war. PhD, Leiden University.

Johnson, DDP (2009) Darwinian selection in asymmetric warfare: the natural advantage of insurgents and terrorists. Journal of the Washington Academy of Sciences 95 (3): 89-112.

Johnson, DDP & Madin, EMP (2008) Paradigm shifts in security strategy. Why does it take disasters to trigger change? In: Natural Security: A Darwinian Approach to a Dangerous World, RD Sagarin and T Taylor (eds), Berkeley and Los Angeles, CA: University of California Press.

Johnson, DDP & Madin, JS (2008) Population models and counterinsurgency strategies. In: Natural Security: A Darwinian Approach to a Dangerous World, RD Sagarin and T Taylor (eds), Berkeley and Los Angeles, CA: University of California Press.

King, AJ, Johnson, DDP & Van Vugt, M (2009) The origins and evolution of leadership. Current Biology 19 (19): 1591-1682

Moffat, J., Bathe, M. & Frewer, L. (Forthcoming) Complex adaptive modelling of complex conflict. Journal of Simulation.

Paul, C, Clarke, CP & Grill, B (2010) Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Sources of Success in Counterinsurgency. RAND.

Paul, C, Clarke, CP & Grill, B (2010) Victory Has a Thousand Fathers: Detailed Counterinsurgency Case Studies. RAND.

Sagarin RD, Alcorta CS, Atran S, Blumstein DT, Dietl GP, Hochberg ME, Johnson DDP, Levin S, Madin EMP, Madin JS, Prescott, EM, Sosis R, Taylor T, Tooby J & Vermeij GJ (2010) Decentralize, adapt and cooperate. Nature 465: 292-293.

Sagarin, R (2003) Adapt or Die: What Charles Darwin can teach Tom Ridge about homeland security. Foreign Policy September/October: 68-69

Van Vugt, M, De Cremer, D, & Janssen, D (2007). Gender differences in competition and cooperation: the male warrior hypothesis. Psychological Science 18: 19-23.

Van Vugt, M. (in press). Sex differences in intergroup aggression and violence: The male warrior hypothesis. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences.